InfoWorld published “The IT Rust Belt” back in 2002. My conclusion back then: IT jobs are headed overseas (and, with luck and some entrepreneurship, small-town America as well). Not all of them, of course, but too many for IT to be a promising career choice for your average college student.
It was, at the time, a minority opinion. It’s now gaining popularity (for one example among many, read “Why IT Jobs Are Never Coming Back,” (by Stephanie Overby in Computerworld, 12/9/2010).