When I was the PC czar for a previous employer, I’d annually have to explain our spending “all this money” on PCs when we’d just spent “all that money” on PCs the year before. I hauled out all the usual arguments, and some unconventional ones besides … all to no avail.

The CFO had prepared counters to the usual arguments, of course, and became irritated at the unconventional ones. Like most executives, he disliked surprises; like many, he found countervailing facts and logic irritating once he’d made a decision. Finally, he presented his clincher: “If PCs increase productivity so much, why hasn’t our headcount dropped?”

When I expressed doubt as to the validity of headcount reduction as a useful measure of productivity improvement, I was told we lacked a good measure of productivity, so he was using that until we got one.

Recognizing the futility of argument, I changed the subject (until now).

Computer backlash seems to be picking up steam again. You can find good examples of this gleeful technology bashing in the writings of Paul Strassmann, whose new book, The Squandered Computer: Evaluating the Business Alignment of Information Technologies, received a glowing send-up in the September/October issue of Harvard Business Review.

Strassmann’s arguments go something like this: Computers are supposed to make companies more productive. If companies are more productive, their sales, general, and administrative cost (SG&A), indexed by the cost of goods sold (COG) ought to have decreased over time. SG&A per COG dollar hasn’t decreased over time, so the benefits touted by IT advocates are, in the terms of Michael Schrage’s HBR review, “… the big lie of the Information Age.”

Every big lie requires a big liar, and since nobody else seems to be around, I guess I’ll have to assume the mantle of responsibility and do my best to perpetuate this big lie.

Strassmann’s argument contains a fatal flaw: There’s no reason to expect SG&A (accounting lingo for overhead) to decrease when you invest in IT. None. Why would it?

You see, capitalist societies include a complicating business factor called competition. It’s a complicated concept, but I’ll try to simplify it. Competitors, you see, are companies that want the same customers you do, and they’ll work hard to get them (unless the company is Novell or Apple, of course, in which case they’ll work hard to give Microsoft their customers … but that’s a different story).

Competition confounds simpleminded productivity measures. Product quality, for example, doesn’t remain constant over time in a competitive environment — it improves or the product fails. And around these quality improvements companies have wrapped extensive service offerings. Why? To stay in business, because their competitors were busy wrapping extensive service offerings around their higher-quality products.

As documented here earlier this year, service isn’t enough either. (See “What customers buy,” 8/11/1997.) Progressive businesses add entertainment dimensions to their products and services; transform sales and marketing into affinity enhancement programs to move from mass marketing to mass one-on-one marketing; and “molecularize” everything to transform manufacturing from mass production to mass customization.

None of this comes cheap. These programs require significant investments in IT. Companies that don’t invest fall by the wayside; those that do stay in business so they can play the game again next year.

So here’s my challenge to those who claim IT investments are worthless: Find one company — just one company — in a competitive industry that’s succeeding while keeping the books on ledger paper, typing correspondence on IBM Selectric typewriters, and managing inventory on index cards.

It’s the nature of competition that you have to keep running faster just to stay even. The measure of IT value, then, isn’t SG&A over COG. The proper measure of success is simply staying alive.

Several years ago, I put Apple Newtons in the hands of my company’s 55 top executives.

No, it wasn’t my idea, just my project. Yes, it was an exercise in futility. My partner and I did our best to make the experience rewarding and the technology compelling. Its lack of integration with personal computers, unresponsive interface, and extremely hard-to-read screen led many of the executives to ask me, “Why is this better than my pocket calendar and a pad of paper?”

“It probably isn’t,” was my answer. “You may find having your whole Rolodex with you is pretty convenient, though.”

I shared our dismal results with Apple (two executives continued using the Newton throughout the two month trial) and our conclusions regarding its fundamental weaknesses. Apple responded that new Newton users had to be prepared to invest two months adapting to the technology.

And you wonder why Apple is in trouble.

I do see a big future for personal digital assistants (PDAs), though. Why?

Because people still want personal computers, and we’re busy taking them away!

Sure, we give them Intel boxes running Windows. We gripe about it, though, and we make them as impersonal as we can. We lock down the settings, forbidding users to change screen resolutions and wallpaper, and banning software of the users’ choosing. These are Enterprise Resources, we proclaim, and users have to recognize that these are the company’s machines, not theirs. In fact, we’d prefer to chuck PCs altogether and replace them with the much better NC — better, of course, because users won’t have any control over at all over an NC.

Microsoft doesn’t help, either: Although easier to use than DOS, Windows is so devilishly hard to fix when it fails that we’ll do anything to keep it from breaking.

Nonetheless, there are lots of us in the world of business who liked the freedom PCs gave us and want it back. One way or another, we’ll get it, too, because as Jeff Goldblum pointed out about life in Jurassic Park (it will “… find a way”), the market has a way of satisfying demand.

PDAs can thrive for the same reason PCs thrived: Users can sneak them in the side door, hiding them in their office-equipment budgets and using them as they please, not as we insist.

The successful PDA will supplant the laptop computer. Here’s what it will need to succeed:

  • Fast boot: When I turn it on, it had better be ready immediately. At most I’ll give it 5 seconds.
  • External keyboard: When I pull it out of my pocket, I’ll use what’s built in. When I’m in my office or hotel room, I want a full-size keyboard.
  • Streamlined but file-compatible word processor and spreadsheet: Compatible file formats allow guerilla computing. The word processor must read and write Microsoft Word files; the spreadsheet must read and write Excel. (Note to Lotus and Corel: convert to Microsoft Office file formats immediately. You’ll sell lots of copies to power users and renegades, and you’ll be positioned for the PDA market.)
  • Harmless customization: Let users have fun personalizing it. Give them back autoexec.bat.
  • E-mail integration: PDAs must synchronize directories and message stores with the desktop system every time they’re docked. As a side note, the directory must, Outlook-style, serve as e-mail directory and name-and-address book. Bad as Outlook is, Microsoft got that right.And the most important feature for the future PDA: No way to put it on the LAN. If it’s on the LAN, IS will control it. Give it a PC docking station and quit.

Now tell me I’m not promoting Windows CE. Please?